TiPES Final Meeting
2023, Sep 03 -- Sep 08
Organizers:
N. Boers (Technical University of Munich)
P. Ditlevsen (Niels Bohr Institute)
H. A. Kjær (Niels Bohr Institute)
M. Montoya (UCM)
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SCIENTIFIC ACTIVITY
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OTHER ACTIVITIES
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ORGANIZERS
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VISITORS
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OUTREACH
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CENTER
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NEWS
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INSTITUTIONAL INFO
Download pdf version of the program here.
Monday, September 04
| Theme 1 – Tipping elements in data and models | |
| Registration | |
| Overview | |
| Denis-Didier Rousseau | |
| Millennial scale Glacial Climate Variability and Stability of the AMOC under various background conditions | |
| Ayako Abe-Ouchi | |
| Greenland spatial DO signatures | |
| Helle Kjaer | |
| Investigating tipping cascades and the hothouse narrative in the model of reduced complexity SURFER | |
| Victor Couplet | |
| PICO talks (10 minutes including questions) | |
| The stability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation during the last deglaciation | |
| Frerk Pöppelmeier | |
| Early warning signals for Dansgaard-Oeschger events in multiple ice core records | |
| Clara Hummel | |
| The signature of discontinuous noise in Greenland ice core records | |
| Keno Riechers | |
| Atmospheric CO2 impact on spontaneous Dansgaard–Oeschger type oscillations: oscillatory sweet-spot for three climate models | |
| Irene Malmierca-Vallet | |
| Overturning Pathways Control AMOC weakening in CMIP6 models | |
| Jonathan Baker | |
| The impact of a weakened AMOC on the European climate simulated by the EC-Earth climate model | |
| Virna Loana Meccia | |
| Amazon forest resilience in dynamic vegetation models | |
| Sebastian Bathiany | |
| Remotely sensed Vegetation Indices for resilience analyses of Tropical rainforests | |
| Lana Blaschke | |
| Free time for scientific discussion | |
| Paleo Tipping Points (and model stability revisited) | |
| Paul Valdes |
Tuesday, September 05
| Theme 2 – Climate response theory | |
| Overview | |
| Anna von der Heydt | |
| Deep learning reconstruction of the AMOC strength from SST fields. | |
| Simon Michel | |
| Tracking the edge of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation | |
| Reyk Börner | |
| PICO talks (10 minutes including questions) | |
| AMOC spontaneous collapses in response to an evolutionary atmosphere with a Rare Event Algorithm | |
| Matteo Cini | |
| A holistic approach to the assessment of critical slowing down via the Kramers-Moyal expansion | |
| Andreas Morr | |
| Rate and noise induced tipping in a conceptual AMOC model | |
| Sacha Sinet | |
| Is the Marine Ice-Sheet Instability predictable by using Transition Indicators on a Flowline Model? | |
| Daniel Moreno-Parada | |
| FastIsostasy -- A regional model for accelerated computation of laterally-variable isostatic adjustment | |
| Jan-Christophe Swierczek-Jereczek | |
| Water Tracers/Isotopes in the UK Earth System Model 2 | |
| Alison McLaren | |
| Antarctic ice-sheet stability under high-emission scenarios | |
| Antonio Juarez-Martinez | |
| Free time for scientific discussion | |
| Climate predictability of different kinds | |
| Peter Ditlevsen |
Wednesday, September 06
| Theme 3: Mathematics of tipping points | |
| Overview | |
| Pete Ashwin | |
| The role of nonattracting chaotic sets for tipping of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation | |
| Oliver Mehling | |
| Statistical dynamics of deterministic chaotic systems with forcing | |
| Julian Newman | |
| PICO talks (10 minutes including questions) | |
| An extreme value theory method to compute dimensions | |
| Ignacio del Amo | |
| Using symbolic python (sympy) to extend a python climate model to AUTO | |
| Oisin Hamilton | |
| Characterising Edge States: Measures on Chaotic Saddles | |
| Raphael Roemer | |
| Antarctic tipping points crossed during the mid-Pliocene warm period | |
| Javier Blasco | |
| An Adimensional perspective on the Mid-Pleistocene Transition | |
| Sergio Pérez-Montero | |
| Overshooting the critical threshold for the Greenland ice sheet | |
| Nils Bochow | |
| Critical thresholds of the Greenland ice sheet | |
| Lucía Gutiérrez González | |
| Temporary title: Estimating the collapse probability of the AMOC using Machine Learning in a hierarchy of models | |
| Valérian Jacques-Dumas | |
| Free time for scientific discussion | |
| Climate response and fluctuations across multiple scales. | |
| Valerio Lucarini |
Thursday, September 07
| Overview: Tipping Points: Lessons learnt from communicating a high-attention topic | |
| Thomas Stocker | |
| Are EWS useful for mitigation policy? | |
| Marina Martínez-Montero | |
| Discussing tipping points in climate with the private sector: misunderstandings and advancements | |
| Marcello Petitta | |
| TiPES management-update on final reporting | |
| Helle Kjaer | |
| Free time for scientific discussion | |
| Everything you always wanted to ask about writing proposals and never dared to. | |
| Discussion led by Henk Dijkstra and Thomas Stocker |
The CCBPP has received financial support for the organization of scientific meetings from the following institutions:
